Showing posts with label quarterback. Show all posts
Showing posts with label quarterback. Show all posts

Friday, March 9, 2012

Where Is Peyton's Place?



Peyton Manning and the Indianapolis Colts announced this week that they were parting ways ...

... which launched a mad scramble among all but a handful of the NFL teams for his services.

Some teams are more serious contenders than others, but there is no doubt that most of the teams in the NFL could use a quarterback. He wouldn't have to be a surefire Hall of Famer ... but, hey, as long as Peyton Manning isn't doing anything, anyway ...

ESPN reports that sources are saying Manning will make up his mind in the next few days. A dozen teams have made overtures to Manning's representatives — of those, ESPN says Arizona, Seattle, Washington, Miami, Kansas City, Denver and the New York Jets have been in direct contact with them.

But Vinnie Iyer of The Sporting News writes that Manning isn't interested in playing for the Redskins.

And, even though he admits Manning in a Broncos uniform is "difficult to envision," I get the feeling that Mark Kiszla of the Denver Post would like to see it happen.

But he says there are at least three reasons why it isn't likely:
  1. "Broncos coach John Fox plus Manning equals a bad mix."

  2. "Pat Bowlen would rather let some other franchise owner bet millions on Manning's health."

  3. "Deep down, [John] Elway realizes Denver is closer to being a 6–10 team than a 10–6 team."

    Kiszla doesn't argue that Manning is not one of the greatest quarterbacks ever to play in the NFL. He just points out there are more pressing needs for a franchise that apparently wants to rebuild the foundation that took it to five Super Bowls when Elway was the field general.
At this point, I suppose, it really is anyone's guess where Manning will wind up.

Common sense says some teams are more likely than others — Green Bay and New Orleans, for instance, are surely out of the running — but there are still some intriguing possibilities out there.

For example, it would be very interesting if Manning signed with the Jets. Then he would be in competition with his multiple Super Bowl–winning brother Eli for the affections of the Big Apple's football fans.

I have a good friend who would undoubtedly like to see Manning in a Kansas City uniform. Don't be too quick to dismiss the notion, either. The Chiefs do have something of a history of signing castoff quarterbacks — remember when Joe Montana took them to the AFC championship after being let go by San Francisco?

The Cardinals have been even more successful. They signed Kurt Warner after he left the Rams — and Warner took the Cardinals to the Super Bowl.

The only thing I'm sure of, at this point, is that someone will sign Manning. I just don't know who.

Stay tuned.

Monday, February 6, 2012

Eli's Coming



When I was a boy, Three Dog Night was one of the most popular bands around, and one of its earliest hits was a tune called "Eli's Coming."

That song wasn't related in any way to football, but, nevertheless, the title sprang to mind as I watched, for the second time in the last five years, Eli Manning lead his New York Giants to a come–from–behind victory over Tom Brady and the New England Patriots in the Super Bowl.

On Saturday, I observed that it was the fifth anniversary of Eli's brother's one and only Super Bowl triumph — and I also noted that, with another win over the Patriots, Eli would notch his second title "and, in the process, probably secur[e] his spot in the NFL's Hall of Fame."

That's how it tends to be with multiple Super Bowl–winning quarterbacks, I wrote, and, in the aftermath of Sunday's game, I see I'm not alone.

Don Banks of Sports Illustrated wrote of the "pretty select club" Eli joined with his victory.

"Quarterbacks with multiple Super Bowl wins have a cache all their own in NFL history," Banks wrote, "and we best start wrapping our minds around the reality that Peyton Manning's little brother is in the fraternity, and the Colts' long–time great isn't. That last shall be first stuff really does come to pass sometimes."

Banks reeled off the names of the multiple winners and observed that nearly all of them are enshrined in the Hall of Fame. That certainly improves the odds that Eli will wind up in Canton as well.

Lord knows he wouldn't get in on the strength of his regular–season numbers. For that matter, his numbers on Sunday were good but not great. He completed 30 of 40 passes for just under 300 yards and one touchdown.

Good enough to get the job done, but not eye popping.

Of course, unlike his older brother, Eli's life is hardly at a crossroads. He's a hot property, having won not only his second Super Bowl but his second Super Bowl MVP award as well. And that makes up for a lot of things.

Success is fleeting in the NFL — just ask the last three quarterbacks who won the Super Bowl — and someone else may well be on the mountaintop in the space of another year.

But today it is Eli who stands astride that mountaintop, surveying the NFL's terrain below and basking in the praise that comes his way for his achievements.

That praise is certainly deserved, but I can't help thinking of how slender the gap between winning and losing a Super Bowl can be. After Manning's Giants opened the game with an impressive and workmanlike — but ultimately futile — possession, they had to punt and succeeded in pinning the Patriots deep in their own territory.

On the first play from scrimmage, Brady threw a pass that went 45 or 50 yards in the air easily — but the officials ruled that no eligible receivers were in the vicinity of the pass, which is the definition of intentional grounding, and threw a flag.

Ordinarily, the penalty for intentional grounding is loss of both yardage and down. Since Brady was in the end zone when he threw the pass, it resulted in a safety and a 2–0 Giants lead.

It has been my experience that some people believe that, for intentional grounding to have occurred, a quarterback must be in the grasp of a defender — and clearly in danger of being tackled for a loss — and throws the ball away to avoid the lost yardage and/or to preserve time on the clock.

But it is not essential for the quarterback to be under duress. It is only necessary for no eligible receiver to be in the vicinity of the pass — whether that pass is short or long.

An old friend (a colleague from my sports desk days) observed on Facebook that it was "the longest intentional grounding play I've ever seen," and I had to agree.

It also seemed to me that, given the fact that Brady's pass covered about half the length of the football field, it was unreasonable for anyone to expect him to be precise about his target — or whether the receiver would stay in the vicinity of the pass in the time it took for the ball to reach its destination.

But that is how the rule is written — currently. I think it would be wise to revisit that rule during the offseason.

Anyway, the game proceeded with the usual scoring — touchdowns and field goals — until late in the game, when the Patriots led, 17–15, and the Giants scored what proved to be the winning touchdown. They went for two on the conversion and came up short, making the final score 21–17.

Now, imagine if the Patriots had not been penalized for intentional grounding but failed to put together a scoring drive on their first possession and wound up punting.

And everything else unfolded as it did (which you really can't assume because everything that happened after the penalty was predicated, to some degree, on the fact that it did, in fact, happen).

That would have made the score 17–13 when the Giants began their game–winning drive.

As it was, the Giants were under no pressure to score a touchdown. All that was needed to take the lead was a field goal, and perhaps that made a difference in the way they played in those final minutes.

But, in the alternate scenario, a touchdown would have been necessary. Under the additional pressure, would the Giants have crumbled? Would they have called different plays? Would the Patriots have followed a different strategy on defense? We'll never know.

If we assume, however, that the Giants would have scored the touchdown, as, of course, they did, it would have made the score 19–17, and my guess is the Giants would have settled for one point on the conversion instead of going for two.

Extra–point kicks are almost always successful, and this one would have given the Giants a 20–17 lead — nearly the actual final score but with a crucial difference. That one–point variation could have made all the difference for New England.

The Patriots' strategy would have been to get within field goal range and try to force the game into overtime, not to get into the end zone, and their play calling would have reflected that.

But the game turned out the way it did — and that first–quarter safety made it possible for the Giants to gamble on a two–point conversion. Whether it was successful or not, they knew the Patriots would have to score a touchdown, they didn't have much time and they were almost out of timeouts.

Eli Manning certainly contributed to the victory, but so did everyone on the team — and, indirectly, Brady did, too. I'm not sure if he deserved to be named MVP.

But he got his second title, and that may be what matters most. Eli is in his prime and could still win another title or two before time catches up to him as it has his brother. He might not, though. You never know.

Eli's coming? He's here. But he might not be back.

Time will tell.

Thursday, June 9, 2011

The Case for Anderson's Induction

Kerry Byrne makes the case in Sports Illustrated that, when his career numbers are stacked up against the quarterbacks who are already in the NFL's Hall of Fame, retired Cincinnati Bengals signal caller Ken Anderson belongs in Canton, Ohio.

It's a compelling argument, and it will undoubtedly be persuasive for folks who remember the playing days of the legends who are enshrined in the Hall. That's probably a good thing for Anderson since he has been passed over so many times that he is now, 25 years after his retirement, eligible to be considered for enshrinement by the senior committee — which might be a little more sympathetic to his cause.

Byrne's case is so good that it looks like a no–brainer for the senior committee. I mean, I'm sure the committee often must consider players who are truly borderline, but that isn't the problem with Anderson. His numbers are worthy of the Hall.

The only knock on him would be the fact that he never won a Super Bowl.

(He did play in one — but he had the misfortune of facing Joe Montana.)

However, to make it more meaningful to younger fans, I thought it might be interesting to compare Anderson's achievements to a few modern quarterbacks — guys who are still playing or who haven't been retired long enough to be eligible, but they all seem likely to make serious bids for Hall of Fame induction. In particular, I'm thinking of Brett Favre, Peyton Manning, Tom Brady, Drew Brees, Kurt Warner, Michael Vick and Donovan McNabb.

Let's take a look at Byrne's statistical case.
  • Anderson twice led the NFL in passing yards.

    Brees has done that, too — in 2008 and 2010. So did Favre (1995 and 1998). Ditto Brady (2005 and 2007) and Manning (2000 and 2003).

    It isn't as rare an achievement as Byrne's column would suggest. But that doesn't lessen it.

  • Anderson twice led the NFL in passing yards per attempt.

    Byrne likes this category because "it measures how well somebody passed, not just how often somebody passed."

    San Diego's Philip Rivers has led the NFL in this category for the last three years. He's never even been in a Super Bowl. The window is closing on his career and, if he doesn't win a Super Bowl soon, he may wind up on the outside of the Hall of Fame looking in — like Anderson. And his fate may wind up in the hands of the senior committee a quarter of a century from now.

    Warner led the league in that category three straight years as well. No one else on my list of recent QBs has led the NFL in it twice, and only a couple (Brady and Manning) have topped the league once.

  • The deadly accurate Anderson led the NFL in completion percentage three times.

    That's nothing to sneeze at, but Warner matched the achievement, and he did it in three straight years (1999, 2000, 2001). Anderson did it in two consecutive years (1982 and 1983), but the first of those seasons was shortened by a strike. He also led the league in 1974 — in the midst of what Byrne acknowledges was the NFL's "dead ball era."

    The ball has been livelier in recent years, but no quarterback on my list (other than Warner, of course) has led the league in it more than once.

    (Actually, I wonder if Byrne gives that particular statistic more credibility than he should. After all, Chad Pennington has led the NFL in that category twice since 2002. Pennington is also the NFL's career leader in completion percentage among quarterbacks who have attempted at least 1,500 passes — but Pennington, whose future in the NFL is currently in doubt, has never played in a Super Bowl.)

    Brees has led the league in that category the last two years, and Brady, Favre and Manning all did it once.

  • The coldly efficient Anderson led the NFL in passer rating an incredible four times.

    That really is incredible.

    Manning came close, leading the league three straight years (2004, 2005, 2006). Anderson did it back to back twice (1974–75 and 1981–82). Brady led the league twice (2007 and 2010). So did Warner (1999 and 2001). Brees did it once (2009).

    Steve Young was the absolute best in that category, though. He topped the NFL six years out of seven (1991–94 and 1996–97). I doubt that anyone will match that accomplishment.
"Anderson was one of the most efficient passers in the history of football," Byrne writes, "especially given the context of his time."

I can't argue with that. Some of the more modern quarterbacks matched Anderson in some of the categories. But no one surpassed him in all of them.

And, even if somebody had surpassed him in all of them, that would be one quarterback — out of how many hundred who have played the game?

There is, however, that little matter of Super Bowl appearances and wins. Practically no quarterback who played all or most of his career since the introduction of the Super Bowl and failed to at least appear in one has been inducted into the Hall of Fame.

Anderson, as I say, did appear in a Super Bowl. But he didn't win it.

Of those seven recent/current quarterbacks I mentioned earlier, six have played in at least one Super Bowl and five have won at least one.

Is it absolutely necessary for a quarterback to have played in a Super Bowl — and, preferably, to have won one — to have a prayer of being inducted into the Hall of Fame?

Well, no. Dan Fouts never played in a Super Bowl, but he is in the Hall, anyway.

There is hope for Anderson. He beat Fouts in an AFC Championship game.