Thursday, September 24, 2009

Is Miami Over Virginia Tech an Upset?

It isn't October yet, which is traditionally when conference play begins, but the Top 25 has at least a dozen conference clashes on this week's schedule.
  • #1 Florida at Kentucky, 5 p.m. (Central) on ESPN2 — Florida didn't particularly impress me against Tennessee last week, but, at the moment, I have no reason to pick against the top–ranked team in the country.

  • UTEP at #2 Texas, 2:30 p.m. (Central) on FSN — I was a little more impressed with Texas' performance against Texas Tech last week, but Tech isn't what it was last year. Still, as is the case with Florida, I have no reason to pick against Texas. Certainly not at home against UTEP.

  • Arkansas at #3 Alabama, 2:30 p.m. (Central) on CBS — As an Arkansas alum, I would love to see the Razorbacks beat Alabama. And there have been times since the Razorbacks joined the SEC when I have seen Arkansas beat Alabama. Sometimes I have seen Arkansas win at Alabama. And I believe the Razorbacks will make it a competitive game. But, I'm afraid, I won't see them beat Alabama this year.

  • Iowa at #4 Penn State, 7 p.m. (Central) on ABC — Last November, Penn State took a 9–0 record to Iowa and left Iowa City with its first loss of the year, 24–23. I don't expect the Nittany Lions to lose the Big Ten rematch at home.

  • #5 Ole Miss at South Carolina, tonight at 6:45 p.m. (Central) on ESPN — South Carolina probably won't win this SEC game, but I expect the Gamecocks to give the Rebels their first real test of the season.

  • #6 California at Oregon, 2:30 p.m. (Central) on ABC — Oregon lost to Big Ten rival Cal on the road last season. But the Ducks are at home this time. Will there be an upset? I don't think so. I'll take Cal.

  • #7 LSU at Mississippi State, 11:21 a.m. (Central) on SEC — I don't think Mississippi State can stay with LSU in this SEC tilt. I'll take the Tigers.

  • #8 Boise State at Bowling Green — I can't say I follow either of these schools too closely, but my gut tells me Boise State will win.

  • Washington State at #10 USC — I've heard the mutterings that USC is no longer a factor in the national title picture. That may be so. But I think the Trojans are still the best in their conference until someone displaces them. I don't think it will be Washington State.

  • Illinois at #11 Ohio State, 2:30 p.m. (Central) on ABC — This game is sort of deceptive. It looks like a mismatch, but it's been just about evenly split for a quarter of a century. I'll go with the Buckeyes, but the score might be closer than you think.

  • #13 Miami (Florida) at #12 Virginia Tech, 2:30 p.m. (Central) on ABC — As far as rankings are concerned, this is probably the game of the week. It's certainly the game of the week in the ACC. In the last five years, Tech has a 3–2 record against Miami, but they've split the last two games in Blacksburg. Tech is coming off a last–minute win over Nebraska in which many weaknesses were exposed. I'm picking the visiting Hurricanes to win what may — or may not — be an upset.

  • #14 TCU at Clemson — Clemson has the reputation. Clemson has a boisterous home crowd. But TCU has a better team. Give me TCU.

  • Fresno State at #15 Cincinnati — I'm sorry this game isn't being televised around here. Cincinnati's quarterback is being mentioned as a dark–horse candidate for the Heisman Trophy. And this should be a good opportunity to see him shine.

  • Grambling State at #16 Oklahoma State — Should be an easy win for Oklahoma State.

  • Arizona State at #17 Georgia, 6 p.m. (Central) on ESPNU — I have become convinced that Georgia's offense is productive and its defense is not. I think the Bulldogs can win by 10.

  • #18 North Carolina at Georgia Tech — I don't follow the ACC too closely. I think this will probably be a close game — a narrow win for North Carolina.

  • Southern Miss at #19 Kansas, 11 a.m. (Central) on FSN — Southern Miss has played pretty well against teams from the upper tier conferences so Kansas would be making a mistake to assume this will be an easy win. I do think Kansas will win the game, but it might be closer than you expect.

  • Colorado State at #20 Brigham Young, 5 p.m. on The MTN — I expect BYU to prevail.

  • #21 Missouri at Nevada, Friday at 8 p.m. (Central) on ESPN — I'll take Missouri.

  • Indiana at #22 Michigan, 11 a.m. on ESPN2 — Michigan should roll over Indiana. Seems like old times.

  • Texas Tech at #23 Houston, 8:15 p.m. (Central) on ESPN2 — This could be wild, a throwback to the run–and–shoot days of the Southwest Conference. I think Tech will win.

  • Louisiana–Lafayette at #24 Nebraska — Hardly seems worth saying that I think Nebraska will win this one convincingly.

  • South Florida at #25 Florida State, 11 a.m. (Central) on EPNU — Florida State should have no problems.
Last week, I went 19–3 in games involving Top 25 teams. So far, my record is 40–4.

1 comment:

Anonymous said...

This is definitely not an upset if the U wins. Actually, it's the contrary because we're expected to win at this point. They're defense will not stop Coop, JJ, Laron Byrd, Jacory, Travis Benjamin, Leo Hank...and so on. We're too deep and they're D has been pretty hurrendous so far. Also they're weak in passing down field and the deep pass defense is Miami's only weakness thus far. To say this is a perfect match-up would even be an understatement. We all saw what disciplined assignment D the Canes can play this year. Taylor won't be able to run against a disciplined and lightning fast defense. 'Nuff said...Go Canes...